Blog
Market notes.
Research-driven notes built from aggregate historical reads: reversal, consolidation, rotation.
The Bull Market Allocation Trap
A bull-market allocation note on using historical analogs to rank where upside is still unresolved across indices, leaders, laggards, metals, and Bitcoin.
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Volatility Is Not Direction
After extreme market moves, investors often mistake volatility for direction. Historical analogs suggest the forward path is usually more nuanced than the emotional consensus expects.
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The Risk Curve Rotation May Already Be Underway
A rotation note on how capital moves from safety toward risk as fear fades, liquidity improves, and leadership starts to broaden.
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The Late-Cycle Rally Case: What Market History Says About Right Now
A late-cycle rally case: cautious consensus, visible strain, and the possibility that the broad market still has one final push left.
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