Market Analog Engine · Early Access

The market has been here before.

"History doesn't repeat itself — but it often rhymes."

ORION finds the historical moments that look most like right now — same price pattern, same macro backdrop — and shows you exactly what happened next.

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Free during beta · No credit card · SPY, QQQ, BTC to start

How it works

A search engine
for market history.

ORION converts every trading day into a state vector — price shape, volatility, momentum, and cross-asset macro signals — then searches history for the closest matches and shows you the full distribution of outcomes.

01 — PATTERN
Price shape matching
Dynamic time warping on the last 60 days of normalized returns finds periods with the same structural shape — compression, trend, volatility signature.
02 — REGIME
Macro fingerprint
8 cross-asset signals — Gold/Copper ratio, DXY, real yields, credit spreads, VIX term structure, yield curve, and more — ensure the macro backdrop genuinely matches.
03 — ANALOGS
Closest historical matches
The 5 most similar historical moments surface — with their full forward outcome distributions, drawdown profiles, and regime context.
04 — CONTEXT
Not a prediction — a distribution
See the range of what happened next: consensus path, scenario split (continuation / sideways / reversal), and base rate comparison.

What you see

Three views.
One complete picture.

◈
Pattern Overlay
All analog historical paths overlaid on the current chart — normalized to converge at today. Forward projections fan out as dashed lines. Consensus band shows the median + interquartile range.
CHART
⊞
Historical View
A zoomed-out 5-year price chart with every analog window highlighted simultaneously — the TradingView fractal overlay you've always wanted. See exactly where in history each match occurred.
FRACTAL OVERLAY
⬡
Macro Radar
Radar chart comparing current macro regime vs each analog's conditions at time of match. 8 dimensions: Gold/Copper, DXY, real yields, credit, VIX term structure, yield curve, and more.
CROSS-ASSET
≡
Outcome Table
Full forward return data for every analog — 5d, 10d, 20d, max drawdown — vs unconditional base rate. How did these specific setups perform, vs any random 20-day period?
STATISTICS
◐
Scenario Split
How many of the analog outcomes went up, sideways, or down? A visual probability split — Continuation / Sideways / Reversal — so you see the distribution at a glance.
PROBABILITY
△
Dual Match Score
Every analog gets two scores: a price similarity score and a macro similarity score. Not just "this chart looked similar" — but "the macro backdrop was also genuinely comparable."
SCORING

"Not a prediction engine. A context engine. The goal is to understand where you are — not to pretend you know exactly where you're going."

ORION · Design philosophy

Cross-asset regime layer

The macro signals
traders actually use.

Price alone is not enough. Two periods can look identical on a chart but resolve completely differently if the macro backdrop diverges. ORION's regime layer uses the signals macro traders watch on Twitter every day — now built into the analog match engine.

Gold / Copper
Risk appetite ratio. Copper = industrial optimism. Gold = fear. Ratio tells you which is winning.
DXY Trend
Dollar direction changes everything for commodities, EM, and risk assets. Included as a percentile rank.
Real Yields (TIPS)
The single biggest driver of gold and growth equity valuations. High = tight conditions.
Credit Spreads
HYG spread. When credit stresses, equity patterns resolve differently. An early warning layer.
VIX Term Structure
VIX vs VIX3M. Contango = complacency. Backwardation = fear. The market's own volatility positioning.
2s10s Yield Curve
Curve slope as a regime signal. Steep = growth. Flat/inverted = late cycle caution.
TLT / SPY Ratio
Bonds vs equities rotation. Rising = flight to safety. Falling = risk-on conviction.
Growth / Value
IWF/IWD relative performance. Regime signal for factor rotation and duration sensitivity.

Positioning

Not a backtest tool.
Not a signal generator.

ORION answers a different question than anything else on the market. "What does this setup historically resolve to?" — not "does my rule have edge?"

ORION Bloomberg Terminal VARRD TradingView
Situational context (what does now look like?) ✓ Core feature ✓ At $25k/yr ✗ ✗
Cross-asset macro regime matching ✓ 8 signals ~ Manual ✗ ✗
Historical fractal overlay chart ✓ ~ ✗ ✗
Strategy rule backtesting ✗ Not our job ✓ ✓ Core feature ~
Accessible to discretionary traders ✓ ✗ $25k/yr ✓ ✓
Price Free beta → ~$29–49/mo ~$25,000/yr Pay per query Free / $15/mo

Be first when
ORION launches.

Join the waitlist for early access. Free during beta. SPY, QQQ, and BTC on day one.

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