ORION

Market history made searchable.

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ONE SEARCH · FIVE CONNECTED SECTIONSDATED PRODUCTION READ · AS OF OCT 12, 2026

One question. The complete historical read.

One search opens Historical, Overlay, Macro, Outcomes and Seasonality.

HISTORICAL  SPY

Find where today has lived before.

2003–2026 VIEW
OVERLAY  SPY

Match the past. See what followed.

5 REAL ANALOGS
CURRENT WINDOWHISTORICAL MATCHESWEIGHTED CONSENSUS
MEDIAN AT +20 SESSIONS-2.4%same five matchesMATCHES FINISHING UP1 / 5historical frequencyLOWEST AT +20 SESSIONS-5.0%HIGHEST AT +20 SESSIONS1.5%
MACRO  SPY

Check whether the backdrop agrees.

REGIME CONTEXT
DXY DOLLAR INDEX102.6 PCTL 58
Strengthening
Gold/Copper RISK APPETITE9.54 PCTL 52
Neutral
Oil COMMODITY TAPE148.2 PCTL 98
Oil elevated
2s10s CURVE SPREAD0.44 PCTL 36
Flat
OUTCOMES  SPY

See what happened next, each time.

5 ANALOGS
ANALOG WINDOWSCORE+20D+1Y+2Y
Q4 '05–Q2 '06range-bound · low vol · near highs · risk-on macro93.8−2.4%+15.2%+9.2%
Q3 '13–Q1 '14range-bound · low vol · near highs93.6+1.6%+13.2%+14.4%
Q2 '21–Q4 '21range-bound · low vol · near highs93.0−0.7%−16.0%+5.1%
Q2 '18–Q4 '18range-bound · low vol · near highs · fear elevated92.8−5.0%+3.2%+24.2%
Q1 '14–Q3 '14range-bound · low vol · near highs · risk-on macro92.8−3.9%+0.4%+11.6%
AVERAGE OF 5across the analogs above—−2.1%+3.2%+12.9%
SEASONALITY  SPY

Put the ticker inside its calendar history.

33Y SAMPLE
THE PREMISE

Every market feels unprecedented. Almost none are.

SILVER · 2000–2026 · TODAY’S WINDOW, MATCHED AGAINST REAL HISTORY

WATCHLISTSAVED WORKSPACE

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YOUR WATCHLIST · MSTRSAVED AUG 20, 2026 · SHARED SEP 17, 2026
EXPECTED AT DAY 18+18.3%
ACTUAL AT DAY 18+12.3%
DIFFERENCE−6.0 pp
MSTR saved August 20: green original consensus and blue actual price both rise; at day 18, actual is up 12.3% against 18.3% expected. Original chart shared September 17, 2026.
Breakout followed through. Actual trailed the saved path.View the posted read ↗
MSTR · Saved August 20, 2026Open watchlist →
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